China Beige Book's Qazi: There is not an obvious growth driver in China for the next several years

28 Dec 2023 (12 months ago)
China Beige Book's Qazi: There is not an obvious growth driver in China for the next several years
  • China's economic recovery is showing signs of weakening and losing steam.
  • Sales in the Chinese real estate market have been declining, with property prices at their lowest levels.
  • Policy support and lower mortgage rates have been implemented to stabilize the sector, but a full recovery is not expected.
  • China is facing challenges in balancing the need to stabilize the real estate market without reinflating the property bubble.
  • Chinese policymakers are unlikely to provide extensive support, and real estate will likely no longer be a significant driver of economic growth.
  • In the absence of real estate, there is no clear growth driver for China in the coming years.
  • Manufacturing and electric vehicle/auto sales may still provide some support to the economy, but overall growth will continue to slow.

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