New SEC Chair, Bitcoin, xAI Supercomputer, UnitedHealth CEO murder, with Gavin Baker & Joe Lonsdale

07 Dec 2024 (11 days ago)
New SEC Chair, Bitcoin, xAI Supercomputer, UnitedHealth CEO murder, with Gavin Baker & Joe Lonsdale

Bestie announcement! (0s)

  • Saak and Chamoff were not present for the episode, and instead, Gavin Baker from Atreides and Joe Lonsdale from 8 VC joined as guests (10s).
  • David Sacks has been appointed as the White House AI and Cryptar of the United States of America, and will guide policy for the administration in artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency (28s).
  • Sacks will also lead the Presidential Council of Advisers for Science and Technology, which is considered a significant role (54s).
  • The host, Jason Calacanis, denies rumors about becoming the press secretary, but expresses willingness to serve the country if asked (1m10s).
  • The podcast, "All In," will continue to be released every week, except for holidays like Thanksgiving (1m16s).
  • Jason Calacanis is currently at David Sacks' house, where he has taken over and is wearing Sacks' robe with his name crossed out and replaced with "Jal" (2m9s).
  • The host is anxious about an impending tsunami warning, which shows a 5-foot or 5-meter water rise, and is waiting for the situation to unfold (1m36s).

Gavin Baker and Joe Lonsdale join the show (2m53s)

  • David Saaks is taking a day off and had surgery earlier in the week, and now looks okay (2m55s).
  • Joe Lonsdale is a substitute guest, a venture capitalist who co-founded several companies, including Palantir and Adapar, which is a real company worth over a trillion dollars (3m33s).
  • Joe Lonsdale has co-founded around six billion-dollar companies and is known for being low-profile despite his accomplishments (3m52s).
  • Gavin Baker is a hedge fund manager who does both private and public investments, and is considered one of the smartest guys in the field (3m58s).
  • Gavin Baker is a friend of the show and is happy to be on the program (4m9s).

State of the Trump Bump: Debt focus, Deregulation, America's lucky position (4m14s)

  • The recent election has led to a "huge Trump bump" in the market, with the cabinet being assembled and potential deregulation and increased government efficiency on the horizon (4m15s).
  • The new administration's plans, if executed, could lead to significant growth and benefits for America, markets, and the world, with the analogy being drawn to Satya Nadella taking over as CEO of Microsoft and turning the company around by stopping "dumb" decisions (5m7s).
  • America is considered the greatest country, with many advantages, but has been mismanaged, with California being a prime example of a privileged state with bad policies (5m28s).
  • There is a consensus across political stripes that there are too many regulations, resulting in too many administrators, complexity, and an inability to build things in America (5m58s).
  • Deregulation, simplifying regulations, and the tax code could lead to immense growth, which is something all Americans should be happy about (6m47s).
  • There is also a consensus that Americans do not like fraud, waste, abuse, and inefficiency, and that efficiency and lower taxes are desirable (7m7s).
  • Jeff Bezos has emphasized the need for a growth-oriented mindset to address debt and deficit problems (7m36s).
  • The government bureaucracy and regulations are considered broken, with some likening them to companies that have gone bankrupt but continue to receive funding (7m52s).
  • The US government's inefficiency and lack of accountability have led to excessive spending, resulting in a significant debt problem that has been growing for decades, with the national debt being a major concern (8m16s).
  • The US used to have tough tests for government positions, but these were abolished in the late 1970s due to claims of racism, and instead, hiring is now often based on identity rather than merit (8m28s).
  • The current system has become "dumb" due to a lack of accountability and the inability to fire underperforming employees, leading to a need for significant reforms (9m2s).
  • To address the issue, a "chainsaw" approach is needed to cut through the bureaucracy, followed by the implementation of a data-driven system that forces regulations to defend themselves and automatically sunsets after five years if not renewed (9m17s).
  • The national debt problem has been a major concern, with some individuals, such as Freedberg, highlighting the issue early on and bringing attention to it through constant discussion and harping on the topic (10m22s).
  • The transition to addressing the national debt problem is underway, with politicians finally paying attention to the issue, and there are three layers to the problem: inefficiency and lack of accountability, excessive spending, and the debt problem itself (11m2s).
  • The debt problem creates an "arithmetic debt death spiral" that needs to be addressed through significant reforms and a data-driven approach to reduce spending and increase accountability (11m17s).
  • The goal is to avoid reaching a breaking point by addressing the first and second derivatives of a problem, and instead focus on unlocking growth to manage the debt-to-GDP ratio (11m23s).
  • To achieve this, it's essential to deregulate in a way that unlocks growth, allowing GDP to increase by 4-5% and minimizing excess spending and the federal deficit (11m38s).
  • One proxy to look at is the increment in electricity production capacity, with China's growth in this area being a critical metric to consider (12m52s).
  • The relationship between electricity production capacity and a country's prosperity is correlated, with a higher capacity often leading to a better quality of life and lower cost of goods (13m18s).
  • Increasing electricity production capacity can lead to more automation, AI, and machines doing tasks, ultimately unlocking a higher level of living (13m48s).
  • Historians like V. Smil have written about the correlation between energy and prosperity, with examples like air conditioning changing a country's fate and raising average IQ (14m10s).
  • The priority should be to make sure the current Administration makes increasing electricity production capacity a priority (14m47s).
  • The United States needs to accelerate its nuclear energy rollout, as China is building dozens of Gen 4 reactors with a GWatt of production capacity each, at a cost that the US cannot currently compete with (14m49s).
  • The regulatory structure in the US prohibits the expansion of energy capacity or electricity production capacity, which is a critical difference that will lead to the US having lower electricity production capacity than China in 10 years (15m11s).
  • This situation has national security implications, as the US needs affordable and competitive manufacturing to ensure national security (15m38s).
  • A friend from Founders Fund is building nuclear fuel in the US for the first time, but this needs to be approved (15m48s).
  • Chris Wright, a nominee for the new Secretary of Energy, is a proponent of cheap energy and nuclear power (15m55s).
  • Increasing nuclear energy production is seen as a positive step, with some considering it the most environmentally friendly energy source (16m11s).
  • While solar energy is becoming increasingly efficient and may eventually power a large portion of the world, it is unlikely to be as cheap as nuclear energy (16m40s).
  • Nuclear energy is arguably just as environmentally friendly as solar energy, and it is available now, making it a viable option for increasing energy production (17m0s).
  • The ideal solution may be a combination of both nuclear and solar energy, as each has its own advantages and disadvantages (17m38s).
  • Elon Musk has tweeted about the potential for covering a small fraction of the US desert with solar panels to meet energy demands, but this would still require a significant amount of land (17m39s).
  • Energy demand is expected to continue to increase nonlinearly, leading to a scaling problem for land consumption, even with advancements in technology (18m0s).
  • The conversation touches on the potential for unlimited energy through nuclear power, with enough uranium in the Earth's crust to power everything for an extended period, and the possibility of having tons of nuclear reactors in space in the future (18m17s).
  • However, the main obstacle to achieving this is the excessive regulation and bureaucracy that hinders progress, with some government workers being described as "midwits" who are not working efficiently (18m53s).
  • The discussion highlights Texas as the number one solar producer in the country, not due to environmental consciousness, but because it is easy to build and construct in the state (19m11s).
  • The ease of building in Texas is contrasted with the difficulties faced in other places, particularly cities with strict regulations, and the example of Austin is given, where despite some imperfections, building is still possible and thriving (19m52s).
  • The conversation also mentions the impact of building and construction on the local economy, with home prices and rent in Austin having gone down for two years in a row due to the increased supply of housing (19m39s).

Trump nominates Paul Atkins as SEC Chair, replacing Gary Gensler: What this means for crypto and other markets (20m7s)

  • Gary Gensler is out as SEC Chair, and Paul Atkins is in; Atkins previously worked as an SEC commissioner under Bush and is admired among DC legal circles and regulators for being pro-crypto (20m7s).
  • Atkins has been helping draft best practices for crypto trading platforms, which is a different approach from Gensler's, who focused on enforcing existing rules without providing a clear path for good actors to move forward (20m34s).
  • Paul Atkins is seen as a fair guy who cares about the rules and helping innovators, which is a welcome change from Gensler's approach that was perceived as dishonorable and adversarial (21m4s).
  • The change in SEC leadership may impact regulations in the fund business, with Atkins potentially allowing for more innovation and less punitive measures (21m36s).
  • Cryptocurrencies have the potential to reduce the power of nation-states, which may be a concern for those who believe in the power of the state to do good things (22m35s).
  • The failed Libra project, which aimed to integrate cryptocurrency into Facebook's platform, could have had a significant positive impact on the world, particularly for immigrants sending remittances back to their home countries (23m6s).
  • The credit card complex charges significant fees, with Visa and Mastercard being exceptions, and Facebook's Libra project aimed to reduce these fees and increase efficiency in the US. (23m43s)
  • The US government, led by then-Senator Sherrod Brown from Ohio, sent letters to participants and financial markets discouraging them from supporting Libra, which was seen as a mafia-style threat. (24m21s)
  • The government's fear of losing control over the money supply and monetary policy is a rational concern, as controlling the money supply is a significant power given to the state. (25m10s)
  • The US has the best capital markets in the world, with the US equity and fixed income markets being the most trusted places on Earth, and it is essential to maintain their fairness and integrity. (26m0s)
  • The opposition to Libra was partly driven by concerns that Mark Zuckerberg and Meta had too much power and influence, particularly in terms of censorship and data usage, and that giving them control over people's wallets would further increase their power. (26m42s)
  • The US has a strong federal government that plays an important role in people's lives, and it's unlikely that Bitcoin will supplant the US dollar as the dominant currency in the near future (29m24s).
  • Bitcoin is seen as a threat to the US dollar, and at some point, the government may wake up to this fact, potentially leading to increased regulation (29m9s).
  • There's a distinction between Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin being viewed as a more legitimate and potentially disruptive force in the financial world (28m33s).
  • The SEC is considered one of the most important and effective federal agencies, and its role in regulating the financial industry is crucial (28m4s).
  • The US government has reasonable concerns about crypto competing with the US dollar, and this concern is driven by a desire to maintain American exceptionalism and supremacy (29m48s).
  • The rise of alternative currencies, such as those backed by China and Russia, poses a significant threat to US interests and consumer welfare, and it's right for the government to fight against it (30m28s).
  • The concept of a "network state" and the potential for Bitcoin to become a safe-haven asset and store of value are seen as potential threats to the US dollar's dominance (29m16s).
  • The government's approach to regulating crypto should balance the need to maintain control with the need to allow for innovation and freedom (30m37s).
  • The idea of creating more "Hong Kong-like" financial hubs that promote liberty and freedom is seen as a potential way to counterbalance the rise of authoritarianism in the financial world (30m46s).
  • The concept of competition from the Liberty side, such as Bitcoin, is seen as beneficial for the US, promoting wealth creation and experiments, as opposed to competition from the authoritarian side (30m57s).
  • Texas is considered the Singapore of America, putting pressure on the rest of the country, and its growth is seen as a positive development (31m6s).
  • Bitcoin is not expected to replace the US dollar due to the strength of the rule of law in America, but it may become a serious threat to the dollar in the future (31m14s).
  • Bitcoin can serve as a check on the US dollar, preventing excessive debt and deficits, and promoting healthy competition (31m45s).
  • The potential for an AOC-like person to gain power in the next 20 years highlights the need for a check on the dollar, and Bitcoin's Liberty-oriented approach is seen as a better alternative (32m3s).
  • AOC's reaction to losing was notable, as she expressed a desire to listen to and understand the perspectives of those who voted for Trump, demonstrating a willingness to engage with opposing viewpoints (32m46s).
  • A 2007 SEC speech by Paul highlighted the commission's proposal to increase the accreditation requirements for investing in private investment funds, including a minimum investment of $2.5 million (33m46s).
  • The SEC's proposal to increase the standard for investing in private investment funds to $2.5 million has been met with criticism, with many public comment letters expressing indignation at the commission's attempt to protect people from themselves and presuming to know more about their financial sophistication and risk tolerance than they do themselves (34m41s).
  • The proposal may prevent non-rich individuals from losing money in private investment funds, but it also prevents them from participating in any potential upside profits and gains, potentially widening the wealth gap between the rich and the non-rich (35m0s).
  • The new SEC chair's approach to regulating private investment funds is seen as a positive development, as it acknowledges the importance of allowing people to take risks with their money and move up the socioeconomic ladder (35m32s).
  • Hedge funds that run with a lot of leverage may be more risky, but it's unclear whether they are more risky than a single security, and the reality is that private equity has had an incredible 15-year run (36m7s).
  • Large private equity firms are now making an effort to appeal to Main Street America, but it would have been beneficial if they had done so earlier, allowing regular Americans to invest in their funds (36m36s).
  • The SEC's regulations can block people from investing in companies like SpaceX, preventing them from participating in potential upside profits and gains (36m58s).
  • Allowing people to take risks with their money and invest in private investment funds can help them move up the socioeconomic ladder, and it's essential to let people do what they want with their money (37m14s).
  • While there are many places people can invest their money, such as public stocks, the ability to invest in private investment funds can provide more opportunities for people to move up the socioeconomic ladder (37m25s).

Thoughts on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin play, state of defense tech, and the US/China AI competition (40m52s)

  • Michael Saylor's convertible note issuances are being used to buy Bitcoin, with the premise that Bitcoin's value will always increase, and this is currently the hottest trade in hedge funds, according to a Bloomberg report (40m52s).
  • The strategy involves issuing debt and using the funds to purchase Bitcoin, with the underlying business generating $400 million in revenue per year, which may not be enough to cover the interest expense on the debt (41m30s).
  • Many hedge funds are shorting MicroStrategy, and the interest expense on the convertible notes is approximately $75 million, which could become unsustainable for the company (41m49s).
  • The use of debt to buy Bitcoin may eventually become too big for the size of the company, and the magic money creation machine could break down if the debt is not over-collateralized (42m42s).
  • Joe Lonsdale is bullish on Bitcoin but agrees that there need to be barriers to prevent the public from taking crazy risks, and he is concerned about the leverage being taken by Michael Saylor (43m16s).
  • Joe Lonsdale is excited about the annual Defense Forum at the Reagan Library, where he will be discussing the return of advanced manufacturing to the US, and he believes that the US is making progress in this area (43m47s).
  • The Defense Forum will feature discussions on new technologies, including AI and microwave radiation, which could be used to deter enemies, and Joe Lonsdale is feeling positive about the US's progress in this area (43m51s).
  • The US defense system is undergoing a wholesale upgrade, with a focus on technology, innovation, and performance-based products, leading to a reinvention of everything, and this shift is expected to happen over the next four years (44m29s).
  • Warfare is fundamentally changing, with new ways of swarming things on land, water, and air, and the US is shifting in this direction, although 95% of the money is still being spent on legacy systems (44m50s).
  • The Chinese position shift in their technology strategy and system strategy is already motivating a shift in the US, with a focus on drones, lasers, and other new technologies (45m32s).
  • The US does not need big aircraft carriers or F-35s, but rather drones and lasers, and there is a role for carriers and force projection, but not incrementally (45m44s).
  • There is a huge tidal wave of venture money coming into the defense tech space, with many investors creating their own defense tech strategies, and this shift is expected to lead to 7-10 new prime contractors in the US (46m11s).
  • The right answer for the US is not going to be a thousand businesses or 100 businesses, but rather 7-10 new primes, and there will be a lot of zeros and bad investments, but these new primes will be huge (46m48s).
  • Restricting China's access to advanced compute and advanced networking is expected to have a significant impact, and this is similar to the themes explored in the science fiction novel "The Three-Body Problem" (47m11s).
  • Gavin Baker agrees with Joe Lonsdale's assessment of the market, and adds that the restrictions on China's access to advanced technologies will have a significant impact (47m7s).
  • The US is unfolding a strategy over China, which is impressive given the Chinese models that have come out, but the risk is that despite this handicap, China is managing to stay just behind the leading edge of America. (47m24s)
  • Nvidia's Blackwell chip is set to come out next year, along with new chips from AMD and Broadcom, which may make it impossible for China to keep up with the US in terms of technology. (47m45s)
  • This development is seen as a positive regulation and great foreign policy, but it is also considered very aggressive and could have unforeseen consequences. (48m3s)
  • The US has rare earth trade restrictions coming, but it is noted that America has its own rare earth resources and a project is underway to restart rare earth production. (48m20s)
  • Refining rare earth materials in the US is a cost and allows for cleaner processing, but it is still a messy process, and the cost structure in the US is different from other countries. (48m40s)
  • The refining process is necessary for obtaining materials like gallium and gallium nitride, which are needed for certain technologies. (48m42s)

xAI's massive GPU cluster, expanding to 1M GPUs, how Grok 3 will test AI scaling laws, and what's next (49m7s)

  • A friend of the podcast, Elon, is building the world's largest supercomputer and plans to increase its capacity by 10 times, which is expected to significantly improve the intelligence and capability of AI models, potentially leading to emergent properties (49m14s).
  • The current limit for training AI models is around 25,000 to 30,000 Nvidia Hoppers, which are coherent, meaning each GPU in the cluster knows what the others are thinking, requiring a lot of networking enabled by infiniband and NVLink (50m8s).
  • Transporting information between GPUs is crucial, and protocols like NVLink and infiniband allow for faster data transfer, with some GPUs able to move a couple of terabytes per second from one processor to the next (50m52s).
  • In a server, multiple GPUs are connected using NVLink, and these servers are then connected using either infiniband or ethernet to form a giant cluster, requiring each GPU to be connected to every other GPU and share memory for AI computations (51m57s).
  • Elon has reportedly found a way to make over 100,000 GPUs coherent, which was previously thought to be impossible, by designing a data center from first principles and coming up with a different approach (52m50s).
  • Many engineers at companies like Meta and Google had expressed skepticism about Elon's ability to achieve this, but he has apparently succeeded in doing so (53m25s).
  • Elon Musk's achievement in training a large AI model was considered superhuman and saved Nvidia from a tough six-month period when Blackwell was delayed, as many who thought it was impossible to make 100,000 Hoppers coherent rushed out and bought a lot of Hoppers to try and do it themselves (53m44s).
  • The xAI supercomputer, Colossus, is currently the biggest in the world, with 100,000 GPUs, and is located in the old Electrolux Factory in Memphis, which is supportive of the project (54m22s).
  • The City of Memphis is supportive of the project, which is considered smart for them, and the supercomputer is putting a lot of energy into training models, with a goal to expand to a million GPUs, 10 times bigger than it is currently (54m41s).
  • The training of the xAI model, Grok 3, will be the first test of scaling laws for training since GP4, and if scaling laws hold, Grok 3 should be a significant advance in the state-of-the-art (54m50s).
  • The success of Grok 3 is considered an immensely important data point, but if it doesn't work, it could indicate that scaling laws are breaking down (55m11s).
  • The debate about hitting a wall in terms of performance relative to investment in training compute resources is ongoing, but some argue that building models of models could unlock new performative capabilities (56m5s).
  • Many AI application companies are already building models of models, chaining cheap models with more expensive ones, and using routers to swap out underlying models if another one is better for the task at hand (56m24s).
  • The debate about whether scaling laws are breaking down is ongoing, but Grok 3 is the first new data point to support or refute this claim, as no one else has built a cluster bigger than 32,000 H100s (57m15s).
  • There are reports that a company is planning to use 200,000 Hoppers, with the next step being a million, and they will be the first in line for Blackwell, but Grok 3 is a significant factor that will determine if there's a limit to scaling (57m26s).
  • A new axis of scaling, known as test time compute or inference scaling, has been discovered, which allows models to improve their performance by thinking for longer periods about complex questions (57m48s).
  • This new scaling law has the potential to dramatically improve the IQ of models, and it's just beginning to be explored (58m31s).
  • There's also a shift underway in context windows, which creates a new kind of scaling access and has multiple dimensions that can improve performance (58m47s).
  • Even if scaling laws for training break, there's still a decade of innovation ahead, with research focused on re-engineering various parts of the stack to reduce energy and resources (59m10s).
  • Efforts are being made to re-engineer architecture in a more designed way, rather than relying on brute force, to achieve better performance (59m32s).
  • The context window, which refers to the number of tokens that can be put into a conversation with a large language model, is an important factor in performance, and some models have larger context windows than others (59m52s).
  • The speed of processing information in the context window is also critical, as it needs to be fast enough to be functional (1h0m15s).
  • Gavin is not an investor in Open AI, but he can theorize about the buildout of Colossus and its potential impact on Open AI's advantage (1h0m21s).
  • The largest cluster Microsoft has is still smaller than the xAI cluster, which suggests that xAI has a significant advantage, but it's unclear how long it will take for others to catch up (1h0m46s).
  • Mira Moradi's resignation from OpenAI during a fundraiser is seen as a shocking statement, possibly expressing disapproval of the current situation, and a way to still receive funding. (1h1m17s)
  • If scaling laws hold, there are reasons to be optimistic about Grok 3, but talent has left OpenAI, which could impact its development. (1h1m35s)
  • The power consumption of GPUs is being addressed, with the H20s being 50% less power-hungry and offering either 50% more compute or twice as much compute, depending on the task, and having more memory. (1h2m0s)
  • The H100 chip was great, and the upcoming Blackwell chip will have an entirely new architecture and networking technology. (1h2m26s)
  • Consumers may experience a change in using forward-facing language models, potentially having a "friend in their pocket" with an IQ of 130, knowing everything, and having more up-to-date knowledge and factual accuracy. (1h3m21s)
  • Developers may see new possibilities in building applications with these advanced language models, potentially leading to more accurate and informative results. (1h2m46s)
  • The ROI on AI investments has been very positive so far, with public companies reporting significant returns on invested capital, but it's uncertain whether this will continue, especially with the estimated cost of training a model potentially reaching $100 billion in two or three years. (1h4m42s)
  • The challenge of implementing AI across an entire enterprise, as seen with companies like Meta and Google, is significant, with some companies directly benefiting from AI, such as making ads more effective, while others may not see the value or may be in the process of discovering product-market fit (1h5m11s).
  • Some people criticize AI tools like co-pilot, questioning whether they are worth the money or if they are just a "toy," while others have seen significant returns on investment (ROI) from AI, particularly startups that have adopted AI technologies (1h5m26s).
  • Many companies are using foundation models to create thin layers of functionality, going from zero to $40 million instantly, and are profitable, replacing labor budgets for their customers (1h6m5s).
  • Startups today are employing fewer people than they would have three years ago, with some seeing a 50% reduction in labor costs, which is attributed to the ROI on AI (1h6m23s).
  • Startups are adopting AI technologies first, just like they did with cloud computing, and are seeing real ROI from AI, similar to what Google and Meta are seeing from using AI across their businesses (1h6m42s).
  • Companies believe that whoever gets to artificial superintelligence first will create tens or hundreds of trillions of dollars of value, and they think that if they lose the race, their company is at mortal risk, leading to a classic prisoner's dilemma competition (1h7m7s).
  • The competition in the AI space is driven by the free market, with companies spending heavily on AI research and development, even if the ROI decelerates, due to the fear of losing the race and the potential value at stake (1h7m23s).

UnitedHealth CEO murdered, reactions (1h7m56s)

  • Brian Thompson, the CEO of UnitedHealthcare, was shot and killed outside a Manhattan hotel on Wednesday morning, with the company being an insurance subsidiary of UnitedHealth Group and employing over 140,000 people while providing coverage to millions. (1h7m56s)
  • A debate has emerged on social media about whether the killer was a well-trained assassin or someone who was not good at doing a hit, with some speculating it could be a personal matter. (1h8m21s)
  • The words "deny," "defend," and "depose" were discovered on the bullet casings at the scene, which are terms used in a book about how health insurers reject many claims every year. (1h8m43s)
  • The incident has raised questions about whether CEOs should be personally responsible for corporate actions, with some arguing that CEOs should be held accountable for the consequences of their company's actions. (1h9m39s)
  • However, others argue that there should be a distinction between negligence, fraud, and acting on behalf of the corporation, and that CEOs should not be held individually accountable for the actions of their company. (1h10m46s)
  • The incident has also sparked a discussion about the role of corporations in society and whether they provide a shield for individuals to do harm, with some arguing that CEOs of companies that let people down should be held accountable. (1h11m10s)
  • Ultimately, the incident raises challenging questions about the balance between holding CEOs accountable for their company's actions and the potential consequences of making CEOs personally responsible for corporate actions. (1h10m24s)
  • The CEO of UnitedHealth, a family man and reportedly a nice guy, was murdered, which is a human tragedy and a shock to those who knew him (1h11m54s).
  • The murder seems to be personalized, with casings left at the scene, although this is still breaking news and speculation (1h12m10s).
  • UnitedHealth has been accused of denying claims at a higher rate than other companies in the industry, with some charts circulating on social media suggesting they deny claims at a rate 2-3 times higher than others (1h12m30s).
  • The company's medical loss ratio is around 85%, meaning they pay out 85 cents of every dollar collected in insurance premiums in claims (1h15m23s).
  • The murder has sparked a reaction on social media, with some people celebrating the death and others expressing outrage and sadness (1h12m49s).
  • Taylor Loren, a social media personality, wrote about the issue of insurance companies denying claims, including a recent decision by Blue Cross Blue Shield to no longer cover anesthesia for certain surgeries (1h13m4s).
  • The reaction to the murder has highlighted the anger and frustration many people feel towards the healthcare and insurance industries (1h13m50s).
  • The hosts of the podcast express their own shock and sadness at the murder, and their concern about the reaction on social media (1h13m30s).
  • They also discuss the challenges of the healthcare and insurance industries, including the difficulty of navigating the system and the high costs of care (1h14m0s).
  • The hosts note that they are privileged to have good healthcare and are not directly affected by the issues faced by those who are denied care (1h14m3s).
  • The business of health insurance is complicated, as companies must balance making insurance affordable with the cost of medical claims, which can be difficult to manage and may lead to increased premiums. (1h15m51s)
  • The mindset that some individuals have, where they view certain groups as oppressors and believe they deserve harm or death, is concerning and has been seen in various contexts, including the celebration of harm done to those perceived as oppressors. (1h16m28s)
  • This mindset is exemplified in the case of the UnitedHealth CEO's murder, where some people celebrated the death of an individual who worked hard and did not intend to hurt others, simply because they were labeled as an oppressor. (1h17m7s)
  • This way of thinking is problematic, as it creates a binary view of the world where individuals are either oppressed or oppressors, and those who are considered oppressors are seen as deserving of harm, while those who are considered oppressed are seen as being able to do no wrong. (1h17m46s)
  • This mindset is a sad commentary on the current state of affairs and highlights the need for a moral standard that holds individuals accountable for their actions, regardless of whether they are considered oppressed or oppressors. (1h18m12s)
  • The All-In Holiday Spectacular is being sponsored by Zoom, and attendees can sign up for free at allin.com, with Zoom also providing AI-powered live streaming capabilities for the event. (1h18m31s)
  • Zoom's AI companion has been helpful in setting up live streams, and other AI tools, such as those found in Notion, have also been useful in providing AI summaries and other features. (1h18m52s)
  • A hackathon was held in the office a couple of weeks ago, where many people who had never built software applications before created tools from scratch and deployed them in production, showcasing the impressive impact of AI on workplace productivity (1h19m16s).
  • The ability to build applications with AI is getting better, and it's now possible for individuals to wake up and say they want an app built for them, with the AI doing 70-80% of the work, although some debugging and production work is still required (1h19m51s).
  • In the future, AI is expected to be able to run its own QA testing, debugging, marketing, and UX, allowing users to simply say what they want an app to do and have it built and tested for them (1h20m16s).
  • The software industry is expected to be completely re-architected as a result of these advancements, with AI changing the way software is developed and used (1h20m49s).
  • At the hackathon, one person created a vegan version of Yelp, while another tried to make a CRM tool to avoid paying for licenses, and another attempted to make a multiplayer app for the video game Skyrim (1h20m53s).
  • The human language is expected to become the dominant programming language in the future, making it easier for people to create software applications (1h21m35s).
  • Startups are often where innovations happen, and resource constraints can drive innovation, as people are forced to try to get the most out of limited resources (1h21m49s).
  • The idea that resource constraints drive innovation is illustrated by the example of Bob Dylan, who created his album "Blood on the Tracks" while facing financial constraints and owing money to Columbia Records (1h22m27s).
  • The conversation starts with a story about an album and a record deal, where the person had to write an album due to financial pressure after a divorce and the record company threatening to sue for an advance (1h22m30s).
  • The pressure led to the creation of a highly-regarded album, illustrating the idea that necessity is the mother of invention (1h22m47s).
  • The conversation then shifts to a discussion about taking a "victory day" and being out of the office (1h23m7s).
  • The moderator claims to be the "world's greatest moderator" and ends the segment by saying they will see the listeners next time on the Allin podcast (1h23m12s).
  • The conversation then appears to jump to a different topic, mentioning opening source material to fans, who have responded enthusiastically (1h23m27s).
  • The rest of the text appears to be unrelated to the initial conversation, with the speakers discussing their personal lives and relationships, including a humorous comment about the tension between them being like a need to release sexual tension (1h23m53s).
  • The conversation ends abruptly, with the speakers mentioning getting someone named "Mer" and the audio cutting off (1h24m3s).

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