Trump wins! How it happened and what's next

09 Nov 2024 (1 month ago)
Trump wins! How it happened and what's next

Bestie intros! (0s)

  • The group discusses who voted for Trump, with some members revealing they voted multiple times and in multiple swing states (6s).
  • The conversation shifts to introducing the guests, including Rainman David, and welcoming them to the show (25s).
  • Tim Waltz from the All-In Podcast is introduced, and the group jokes about his name being forgettable (44s).
  • The group discusses their YouTube channel, All-In, and encourages viewers to like and subscribe to reach a million subscribers (1m22s).
  • They also promote their holiday party, which will feature Steve Aoki as the DJ, and Andrea and Alex Botes as the opening DJ set (1m30s).
  • The party will also include a chess tournament, with guests like Gary Richards, also known as Destructo, participating (1m53s).
  • The group reminisces about a previous chess match between David and Gary, where David won despite blundering his queen (2m6s).
  • They discuss the party's details, including the venue, which is the building where the Exploratorium used to be, and the ticket prices, which are $500 (3m15s).
  • The group jokes about the party's expenses, with some members estimating it will cost around a million dollars (2m53s).
  • Jason is congratulated for his role in inadvertently helping Trump get elected through the All-In Podcast (3m57s).
  • Jason responds, saying it feels great to have accomplished his dream, and gives a shoutout to his internal debating partner (4m20s).
  • The group discusses how Jason's presence helped move the Overton window in Silicon Valley, and how he was indispensable as a foil for their political takes (4m26s).

Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (4m55s)

  • The scene at Mar-a-Lago on election night was described as people watching and waiting for early results, with whispers of positivity but no certainty of the outcome (4m55s).
  • The author arrived at Mar-a-Lago around 7:30 Eastern Time and attended a live stream with Tucker in the library, while a dinner was held in the ballroom for Mar-a-Lago members, Senators, and campaign members (5m19s).
  • The author took a photo with President Trump, who seemed confident but not overly so, and was described as "cool as a cucumber" with no visible nervousness (6m1s).
  • Elon Musk also arrived at Mar-a-Lago around the same time, and the author got a memorable photograph with him and the President (6m7s).
  • The author recalled the moment of shaking hands with President Trump, describing it as a normal handshake with no attempt to exert dominance (6m35s).
  • The scene at Mar-a-Lago was described as people meandering, chilling, and having cocktails, with a dinner in the ballroom and a live stream with the author and Don Jr (7m0s).
  • Jared Kushner was present and invited the author to join him for dinner, but the author declined to do a live stream instead (7m3s).
  • The author is not an official member of Mar-a-Lago, despite rumors of a $500,000 membership fee, and noted that the membership process is restricted to the Palm Beach community (7m16s).
  • The majority of supporters were at the convention center in Palm Beach, where the author later moved to continue the live stream and await the election results (7m42s).
  • The turning point came when Pennsylvania was called, and everyone knew the election was "in the bag" for Trump, leading to a victory speech in the large ballroom (8m7s).

Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (8m28s)

  • Donald Trump won the presidential election with 3112 Electoral College votes, while his opponent, Kamala Harris, received 226 votes, marking a significant victory for Trump as he won all the supposed swing states fairly resoundingly (8m30s).
  • The Democratic party's loss can be attributed to the fact that they lost the script and relied heavily on judgmental labels, which led to people becoming tired of being spoken at and labeled, ultimately causing them to think for themselves (9m26s).
  • Trump's message of economic prosperity, safe neighborhoods, and a predictable educational curriculum resonated with people, who were looking for a return to normalcy and a focus on basic truths (10m19s).
  • The Democratic party's strategy of using identities, genders, and races as a bid to get people to support them backfired, as people began to prioritize their own needs and desires (10m5s).
  • Trump's focus on hard realities, rather than perception, ultimately led to his victory, while the Democrats' reliance on demagoguery and labels resulted in a resounding defeat (10m48s).
  • The election results in California and New York, where Democrats won by narrow margins, indicate that the party needs to retool and get back to first principles, as the election was a dismissal of wokeism, cancel culture, and judgmentalism (11m27s).
  • The power of alternative media, including long-form podcasts, played a significant role in the election, as candidates, particularly on the Republican side, were able to reach their audience directly and bypass traditional legacy media (12m38s).
  • Trump's strategy of using podcasts, including his appearance on shows like Joe Rogan and Lex, was a major part of his campaign and helped to move the needle for many people (12m59s).
  • The main reasons for the Democratic loss are the candidate, inflation, and the economy, with the candidate being the number one problem, specifically Kamala Harris, who was a terrible candidate and did not go through a proper primary (13m12s).
  • The high inflation rate over the last four years was a significant issue, with people remembering the increased prices of everyday items, such as a cheeseburger at McDonald's going from $2 to $4 (13m30s).
  • Three main buckets can be identified for the conversation: the candidate, inflation and the economy, and the country's dislike of being told they are racist or sexist, with cancel culture being a significant issue (14m33s).
  • Donald Trump's campaign was successful, with the candidate delivering a strong message, particularly on podcasts, such as the one with JD Vance (14m11s).
  • An ad from the Trump campaign highlighted Kamala Harris's support for taxpayer-funded sex changes for prisoners and her stance on biological men competing against women in sports, which may have been difficult for her to recover from, especially among black voters, male voters, and those tired of the agenda being pushed (15m32s).
  • Kamala Harris's track record, including being in charge of the border and the economy when inflation spiked, combined with Trump's flawless campaign, made for an easy victory (15m58s).
  • A chart showed that Americans tend to support winners, innovation, and hate socialism and "woke nonsense," with Trump's support increasing across most demographics, except for white college men and women over 65, who modestly went left (16m10s).
  • The biggest shift in support for Trump was among Hispanic and Asian populations, who tend to believe in meritocracy and traditional family values (16m45s).
  • The outcome of the election can be attributed to three main factors: the policies, the candidate, and the methods of the campaign, all of which played a role in the election cycle (17m33s).
  • There is a significant difference between the candidates, with some people unable to look past certain aspects of each candidate, such as Donald Trump's behavior on Twitter and his felony conviction, or Joe Biden not receiving any primary votes (17m37s).
  • The mainstream media has been working closely with the Democratic party to propagate an agenda that aims to vilify Donald Trump, which has been ongoing since his initial candidacy in 2015 (18m5s).
  • It is essential for individuals to be prepared to change their minds when presented with new information, especially when it comes to making decisions about their family's safety and economic well-being (18m41s).
  • The Democrats have only reached out to the speaker for financial support, whereas Donald Trump has been the only politician to call and have a conversation without asking for money (19m26s).
  • There has been a concerted effort to distort the public's perception of Donald Trump and to promote his opponents, which can be misleading and trick people into making uninformed decisions (19m50s).
  • Many Americans were able to see through the attempts to malign Donald Trump and instead chose a candidate who is serious about running the country and willing to work together despite disagreements (20m35s).
  • The importance of policy, the individual candidate, and the campaign methods should be considered when evaluating the outcome of the election, as well as the role of the media in shaping public opinion (21m16s).
  • The US election outcome can be analyzed by considering three key factors: the message, the messenger, and the campaign's tactical level. (21m18s)
  • The Democratic party's defeat cannot be solely attributed to Kamala Harris being a bad messenger or candidate, as she was not dealt a strong hand due to rampant inflation and other issues. (21m30s)
  • The inflation was a result of trillions of dollars in spending agreed upon by the Democratic party, which hurt people financially and impacted their votes. (21m51s)
  • The Democratic party's support for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris's agenda, de facto open border policies, and soft-on-crime policies contributed to their defeat. (22m29s)
  • Even in deep blue states like California, there is a huge backlash against the Democratic party's soft-on-crime agenda, as seen in the 70% vote in favor of Prop 36, which reversed the excesses of Prop 47. (22m50s)
  • The Democratic party elites are out of touch with what people want, as evident in their opposition to Prop 36 despite its massive popularity. (23m16s)
  • The Democratic party's foreign policy agenda, including engaging in a proxy war with Vladimir Putin, has been a disaster and contributed to their defeat. (23m26s)
  • The blame for the Democratic party's defeat should not be placed solely on Kamala Harris, but rather on the party as a whole, which needs to improve its agenda to start winning elections again. (23m48s)
  • The Democratic party's cultural approach, including talking down to people, lecturing, insulting, censoring, and gaslighting, has also contributed to their defeat. (23m50s)
  • The party's treatment of Elon Musk, including disinviting him from the EV Summit and telling him to leave California, was a significant own goal. (24m19s)
  • The nature of democracy in a two-party system is that when one party veers too far to the left or right, people will jump ship to the other party, ultimately pulling the policies of the party they left back to the middle. (24m37s)
  • Historically, election results have led to the losing party adjusting their stance to the center, and it is uncertain if the Democrats will do the same four years from now due to the voting turnout in this election (24m59s).
  • The question remains whether the Democrats have the necessary introspection to learn from their loss, with some individuals like Mat Glacius showing potential for change (25m15s).
  • Mat Glacius, a Democrat partisan, tweeted a list of principles that the Democratic party needs to adopt, which included opposing woke culture, being in favor of merit and innovation, and promoting tolerance (25m21s).
  • The adoption of these principles by the Democratic party could be beneficial for the country, but there are doubts about whether they will actually implement these changes (25m46s).

The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (25m55s)

  • The Democratic party base is comprised of affluent, overeducated, and non-religious individuals who are out of touch with the general population and may not be able to find an electoral majority (26m13s).
  • These individuals are unlikely to give up control of the party without a fight, and their woke ideology may prevent them from adapting to changing circumstances (26m32s).
  • If the current Democratic party leadership remains in control, the Republicans may have an electoral majority for the foreseeable future (27m8s).
  • The Democrats may lose one of their strongholds, California or New York, in the next eight years if they do not change their approach (27m19s).
  • The state infrastructure in these strongholds is unlikely to change, as it is heavily influenced by wealthy donors such as Bill Gates and Dustin Moskovitz (27m39s).
  • Local infrastructure may be more adaptable to change, but it is still unlikely to shift significantly without a change in the party's platform (27m50s).
  • The Democrats spent significantly more than the Republicans in the recent campaign, with the Harris campaign spending nearly $900 million and the Trump campaign spending $350 million (28m35s).
  • Despite their increased spending, the Democrats lost across the board, including the Senate, House, governorships, and the White House (28m26s).
  • The significant negative return on investment for the Democrats may necessitate a shift towards the center if they want to survive as a party (29m20s).
  • The Democratic party may need to shift towards the center and adjust their approach due to the election outcome, a process they had already begun but struggled to execute effectively (29m38s).
  • The concept of "earned media" is crucial, where a candidate earns their audience and media presence without paying for it, as opposed to "paid media" (30m6s).
  • Trump's ability to earn media coverage was a key factor in his success, and the Democratic candidate's inability to do the same was a significant weakness (30m4s).
  • The Democratic candidate, Kamala Harris, was not effective in communicating and was unable to go on popular shows like Joe Rogan without risking embarrassment (30m43s).
  • Harris's poor performance in interviews and unscripted situations was a major issue in her campaign, and she struggled to defend the Biden-Harris record or articulate a different vision (32m34s).
  • The Biden-Harris record was a liability for Harris, and the Democratic party's decision to not allow her to criticize Biden while also not defending him effectively put her in a difficult position (32m56s).
  • Inflation was a major issue in the election, with the cost of everyday items like food and groceries increasing significantly, and the majority of Americans feeling the impact (31m33s).
  • The election outcome may signal a "return to normalcy," with voters focusing on everyday concerns like the cost of living, education, and the economy (32m6s).
  • The Democrats' inability to defend their record led to their loss, as they had to defend their record on the border and the economy, but failed to do so effectively (33m24s).
  • The tactic used by the Democrats in 2020 to defeat Trump was to promise a return to normalcy, which worked at the time, but not in this election (33m47s).
  • Biden ran a successful campaign against Trump in 2020 based on his perceived ability to bring normalcy and stability to the country, but this tactic did not work this time around (34m30s).
  • The Democrats had a strong record to defend, including record low employment, record high stock market, and tamed inflation, but failed to effectively communicate this to the public (34m55s).
  • The Democrats had a significant financial advantage, with roughly three times as much money as the Republicans, but still lost the election (35m31s).
  • The Democrats also had a massive advantage in terms of what is referred to as the "Legacy Media," which has been critical of Trump for years, but this advantage ultimately backfired (35m56s).
  • The Legacy Media's credibility has been destroyed, and their spell has been broken, as the country no longer believes their negative portrayal of Trump (36m34s).
  • The repudiation of the Legacy Media is seen as one of the most important results of this election, showing that the Democrats' trillion-dollar propaganda machine was ultimately ineffective (36m41s).
  • Trump's win can be attributed to multiple factors, including the growth of alternative media and free speech on platforms like X, as well as his own unique personality and communication skills (36m56s).
  • Trump's trillion-dollar personality and gifted communication abilities played a significant role in his success (37m8s).
  • The issues that Trump campaigned on, such as sealing the border, controlling spending and bureaucracy in Washington, and opposing woke cancel culture, resonated with Americans (37m17s).
  • Americans also supported Trump's stance on reducing involvement in foreign wars and bringing spending back home to benefit the country (37m33s).
  • Trump's campaign focused on addressing key issues, in contrast to other candidates like Kamala Harris, who ran her campaign on "vibes," celebrity endorsements, and debunked hoaxes (37m44s).

What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (37m59s)

  • The question of what mattered most in the election is raised, with options including policy, issues with the candidate, and media or campaign tactics (38m5s).
  • It is suggested that the candidate, Donald Trump, and his message cannot be separated, and that he has tapped into something deep in the American electorate since 2016 (38m18s).
  • Trump is described as a transformational figure in American politics, more so than Barack Obama (38m58s).
  • The importance of the candidate is highlighted, with Kamala Harris being cited as a factor in the election outcome (39m10s).
  • It is noted that moderate voters may have been driven away by the Democratic Party's candidate selection (39m23s).
  • The possibility of alternative Democratic candidates, such as Dean Phillips and Shapiro, is discussed, with the suggestion that they may have beaten Trump more easily (39m45s).
  • The role of young men in the election is highlighted, with the influence of Elon Musk, Joe Rogan, and podcasts like the one being discussed (39m56s).
  • The idea that young men are now voting for something different than other demographics is raised, and that this could be a sustainable change in the coming years (40m14s).
  • The policies of the Democratic Party are criticized as being fundamentally broken, having shifted away from their historical values of free speech and anti-war (40m33s).
  • The Democratic Party's shift towards censorship and involvement in foreign conflicts is contrasted with the Republican Party's stance on these issues (40m46s).
  • The question is raised as to whether the Democratic Party's shift in policies was intentional or accidental, and whether those in charge of the party are aware of the issue (41m20s).
  • The question is raised whether the opposing party will change their approach or continue to be out of touch, requiring multiple election losses to learn from their mistakes (41m33s).
  • Conversations with people who did not vote for Trump often focus on his personal character rather than policy issues, with concerns about his behavior, treatment of women, and past statements on Twitter (42m7s).
  • Many individuals feel disenfranchised and do not trust Trump, despite agreeing with some of his policies, and it is questioned whether it is possible to break through to these people and help them see past Trump's personal character (42m59s).
  • The media's role in shaping public perception of Trump is discussed, including the example of the Charlottesville incident, where the media was accused of lying about Trump's statements (43m41s).
  • Personal experiences of being misled by the media and later discovering the truth are shared, highlighting the importance of critically evaluating information and seeking out multiple sources (44m6s).
  • The need for individuals to take responsibility for seeking accurate information and reevaluating their perspectives is emphasized, particularly in the context of being a leader or head of a family (44m46s).
  • In investing, there are periods of success and failure, but it's essential to constantly re-evaluate and challenge biases, as some of the best investments can be made during difficult times (45m40s).
  • Many people have a negative perception of Donald Trump due to a concerted effort to lie and misrepresent him, and it's crucial to separate media interpretation from his actual accomplishments (46m20s).
  • Trump's accomplishments, such as the Abraham Accords, brought the Middle East closer to peace than any other era of government, but the incoming government sought to undo these agreements (46m52s).
  • The media cycle played a significant role in shaping public opinion, and it's essential for people to take a step back and think critically about the information they consume (47m30s).
  • Despite having reservations about Trump's character, some people align with his policies and are willing to look past his personal flaws, hoping that he will deliver on his promises (48m4s).
  • Trump's presidency is an opportunity for the country to come together, and his success will be measured by his ability to deliver on his promises, such as not having a national abortion ban and not deporting people with college degrees (48m31s).
  • There is speculation about whether Trump will maintain relationships with influential figures like Elon Musk, Chamath Palihapitiya, and Sachs, and whether he will follow through on his commitments (49m1s).
  • A list of promises made by Trump will be evaluated based on his actions, including the mass deportation of 15 million people, which many may not agree with, as it would affect those who came to the US for a better life and are productive members of society (49m33s).
  • The deportation of 500,000 criminals is a more widely accepted goal, but some items on Trump's agenda may be uncomfortable to see executed, while others would be amazing if achieved, such as settling the war in Ukraine (50m0s).
  • Trump's potential actions, including the rapid deportation of a million people every two or three months, could be disastrous and hard to watch in America (50m20s).
  • Despite potential concerns, it is suggested to give Trump the support he needs and judge him based on his actions (50m32s).
  • The presence of Saak, Chamath, Elon, and JD Vance by Trump's side gives hope for his presidency (50m39s).

GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (50m44s)

  • The Republicans are likely to have a majority in the House, with a 99% chance according to Poly Market, and already have control of the Senate, while Trump is in the White House, giving them significant legislative and executive control (51m5s).
  • With this control, the top policy items the Republicans will pursue include getting Trump's appointments through the Senate, which will be easier with a majority of 53 or 54 senators, potentially benefiting individuals like Bobby Kennedy (52m7s).
  • Trump wants to end the war in Ukraine, but it's unlikely to happen immediately, as the Ukrainians are not willing to make concessions yet, although Trump will likely try to make progress on this issue (52m32s).
  • There is a strong desire in the Republican party for major government reform, including increased efficiency and reduced spending, with a goal of cutting federal spending, potentially by as much as $2 trillion, although this may be difficult to achieve through Congress (53m13s).
  • To achieve these spending cuts, legislative action will be necessary, and while some changes can be made through executive orders, congressional action will also be required, making it a challenging but not impossible task (53m36s).
  • The Republicans' control of the House and Senate gives them a chance to pass significant reforms, although the extent of the changes that can be made remains to be seen (53m57s).
  • Reforming the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) is a significant theme emerging from the election, and finding a way to achieve this reform is crucial, with the goal of getting both parties to support a feasible number, possibly starting with three key reforms (54m13s).
  • The federal government is the largest organization on earth, except for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), and realizing significant action at this scale requires strong leadership and leverage, making cabinet positions crucial in achieving the agenda (54m37s).
  • Key cabinet positions and potential candidates are being considered, with Bobby Kennedy being a top choice due to his ability to promote transparency and allow for informed decision-making (55m35s).
  • Vivek Ramaswami is also considered an excellent candidate, being indefatigable and a strong supporter of Donald Trump's ideas, with a potential role in the federal government, although there are rumors of him running for governor of Ohio (55m56s).
  • Tulsi Gabbard is another potential candidate, with rumors suggesting a possible role in the Department of Veteran Affairs, which would be a cabinet position (56m34s).
  • A significant race is underway for the new Senate Majority Leader, with candidates including John Thune, Cornyn from Texas, and potentially Mike Lee, who has been agitating for change and is trusted to represent the MAGA agenda (56m53s).
  • If Mike Lee does not run, it is recommended to support his preferred candidate, as he is likely to choose someone who will represent the MAGA agenda and promote real reform through the Senate (57m12s).
  • Donald Trump has the opportunity to weigh in on the Senate majority race and ensure the right person gets the position, as he currently has significant influence within the Republican caucus (57m35s).
  • Potential candidates for the vice presidency include Rick Scott from Florida and Mike Lee, with the possibility of Trump choosing a loyalist for the position (57m54s).
  • Cabinet positions that are left to be filled include Defense, with potential candidates being Rick Grenell, who has worked for Trump in the past, and Treasury, with possible candidates being Scott Bessent and John Paulson (58m11s).
  • Jerome Powell, the current Fed Governor, has stated that he will not step aside if asked to resign by Donald Trump, and will remain in his position until mid-2026 (58m35s).
  • There is a rumor that Reyell wants the position of Secretary of State, rather than Secretary of Defense, although it is unclear if he will get the position (58m47s).
  • A major concern for the MAGA movement and America First movement is whether neocons will be able to infiltrate the Trump Administration, as they did during Trump's first term, and whether Trump will continue his opposition to Forever Wars (59m0s).
  • In an effort to prevent neocons from infiltrating the Administration, people on X are creating lists of neocons and asking them to be named and shamed, in order to raise alarm bells and prevent them from getting near the Administration (59m56s).
  • There is a danger that the swamp creatures who were not supportive of Trump during the last few months will now try to worm their way into the Administration, and it is up to the MAGA influencers to stay involved and consolidate the victory by getting reform-type people into the Administration (1h0m54s).
  • The individual being interviewed has stated that they would not serve in the Administration if asked, citing their inability to do so due to being a "key manic craft" (1h1m15s).
  • If given the opportunity to serve on an advisory committee or part-time role that doesn't require divesting everything, it would be an honor to serve in that capacity, especially for those running companies (1h1m21s).
  • Elon Musk's ability to focus on a specific goal, strip it down to first principles, and rebuild it is notable, as seen in his efforts to influence the election outcome in Pennsylvania and among young men (1h2m16s).
  • Elon Musk's strategy in Pennsylvania involved speaking to residents, holding rallies, and building an infrastructure to get out the vote, which rivaled the Democratic infrastructure despite having less money (1h2m52s).
  • The sweepstakes idea, which was met with controversy, was a clever way to get people to sign up for Elon Musk's pack without paying for ads, and the media's framing of it as "buying votes" was seen as manipulation (1h3m55s).
  • The legal infrastructure of America dismissed the case against the sweepstakes within an hour, indicating that it was a farce, and people are becoming more savvy to media manipulation (1h4m39s).
  • Elon Musk demonstrated that a smart person with a startup or innovation mentality can make a significant impact by being willing to spend time and effort on a specific goal (1h4m46s).
  • The 2024 US presidential election has been won by Donald Trump, with the outcome attributed to smart campaigning and effective use of resources (1h4m58s).
  • In contrast, the Democratic campaign, managed by Jen O'Malley Dillon, who was inherited from Biden by Kamala Harris, ended $20 million in debt despite having a budget of $1 billion (1h5m11s).
  • The Democratic campaign's funds were reportedly spent on expensive consultants, elaborate staged events, and celebrity cameos, including a rumored $10 million payment to Beyoncé (1h5m28s).
  • Elon Musk's campaign was seen as more effective, with a smarter approach to spending and outreach (1h5m57s).
  • Barack Obama's involvement in the campaign and his rhetoric during the final stretch were seen as disappointing and damaging to his reputation, particularly his propagation of lies and divisive rhetoric (1h6m6s).
  • Obama's actions were seen as a departure from his previous image as a transcendent figure above the fray of politics, and his decision to engage in partisan politics has diminished his stature (1h7m22s).
  • Obama's endorsement of Kamala Harris and his involvement in the switch from Joe Biden were seen as backing the "switcheroo" and propping up Harris's campaign (1h7m34s).
  • The outcome of the election has raised hopes that Trump will be held accountable for his actions, and that his supporters will publicly call him out if he engages in divisive or damaging behavior (1h8m26s).

Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1h10m42s)

  • The Trump administration's cabinet positions may include individuals who have never held executive positions before, such as RFK Jr, but have managed large groups of people and been CEOs of businesses, bringing a fresh perspective to government agencies (1h10m43s).
  • The goal of bringing in Outsiders is not to blow up the system, but to provide transparency and transform government agencies, with the first step being to make the obvious changes obvious (1h11m30s).
  • The pendulum has swung too far in favor of political appointments, allowing the "Swamp People" to maintain control, and a radical push to transparency is expected to counter this (1h11m53s).
  • Combining transparency with a handful of key topics, such as zero-based budgeting, will lead to a debate on what to do and make decisions about what to do blindingly obvious (1h12m33s).
  • The confirmation of Bobby Kennedy to a cabinet position is important, as he was a major factor in shifting momentum towards Trump during the campaign, and his coalition of young people and former Democrats needs to be kept as part of the Republican Party and MAGA movement (1h13m14s).
  • Bobby Kennedy is expected to reform a significant part of the bureaucracy, using his fresh perspective and understanding of how the bureaucracy works, gained from his experience litigating against regulatory capture and the marriage of state power and corporate greed (1h13m52s).
  • The first phase of the new administration will focus on radical transparency and sharing information with the American people, including the Epstein files, the Diddy lists, and the JFK file, which will serve as a disinfectant to build from (1h14m21s).
  • The administration has told the FDA to keep their records, implying that there will be a thorough investigation and a desire for answers (1h14m56s).
  • With the help of AI, which can crunch vast amounts of data, the combination of transparency and government information sharing will provide answers to various questions, such as the effectiveness of vaccines, fluoride, and approved or unapproved drugs (1h15m10s).
  • Research on the impact of food on physiology may also be uncovered, including whether such research was suppressed or not (1h15m45s).
  • The idea of a "Twitter files for the whole federal government" has been proposed, which would involve releasing information about government censorship and potential wrongdoing, similar to what was revealed when Elon Musk released the Twitter files (1h16m0s).
  • The Twitter files revealed that the government was engaged in censorship, working with Twitter's trust and safety department, and that the FBI had a tool called "teleport" to transmit secret instructions to Twitter (1h16m27s).
  • A federal government "Twitter files" release could potentially uncover information about COVID-19, including the lies told about it and the incompleteness of clinical validation studies (1h16m47s).
  • If the data released is of high quality, it could reestablish trust in the institution, making the whole process a win-win (1h17m14s).
  • The Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) gives the power to request information from the government, and it is expected that this law will be utilized to uncover more information (1h17m43s).
  • The Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) allows individual citizens and third-party agencies to request data and files from the federal government, providing a check and balance on the government's authority, except for classified information (1h17m50s).
  • The federal government has a tendency to over-classify information, with approximately a billion classified documents, making it difficult for individuals and third parties to access information through FOIA requests (1h18m10s).
  • Third-party lawyers and nonprofits have used FOIA powers to request access to information from federal agencies, and some individuals have successfully obtained data through this process, including weather data for a startup (1h18m22s).
  • There may have been corruption in the FOIA process over time, making it more difficult for individuals and third parties to access information, with some agencies slowing down the process or taking months to respond (1h18m52s).
  • A massive declassification effort of the federal government's documents is needed to address the over-classification problem and make more documents available to FOIA requests (1h19m20s).
  • The declassification effort could help tighten up the FOIA process, making it faster and easier to access information, and prevent agencies from circumventing it by classifying documents unnecessarily (1h19m55s).
  • During the COVID-19 pandemic, some agencies used tactics such as deliberately misspelling words to avoid FOIA requests, and unnecessarily classified documents at the highest level of security (1h20m4s).
  • The practice of classifying every email at the highest level of security has made it difficult to discern what information should be classified, and has been used as a way to cover up information (1h20m32s).
  • There are concerns about Robert F. Kennedy (RFK) having oversight, with some individuals expressing deep trepidation about his potential authority and limitations with respect to legislative authority (1h20m55s).
  • The discussion revolves around Robert F. Kennedy (RFK) and his views on various topics, including microplastics, chemistry in food and production systems, vaccines, and fluoride, which resonate with some individuals but also raise concerns about factual accuracy and the need for open debate and review of objective truth (1h21m10s).
  • The importance of challenging systems and promoting transparency and discourse is emphasized, with RFK being seen as a candidate who is open to debate and interviews, unlike some bureaucracies that lack transparency (1h22m32s).
  • The role of science is highlighted as a process of skepticism, interrogation, and the search for objective truth, which requires constant questioning and review, rather than being a dictatorial regime (1h23m6s).
  • The need for transparency and skepticism in agencies and authorities rooted in science is stressed to reassert faith and trust in their operations, acknowledging the good work done by many individuals in these agencies (1h23m30s).
  • The importance of not dismissing bureaucracies as unscientific but rather promoting a degree of skepticism, process, and transparency is emphasized to ensure that advances in science and technology continue to benefit Americans and humanity (1h24m1s).
  • The US government is supposed to be ruled by three branches: the executive, legislative, and judicial, but a fourth branch, the administrative state, has emerged over the decades, comprising roughly three million federal employees who do not report to anyone and cannot be fired by the president (1h24m13s).
  • This administrative branch has been at the forefront of trying to stop Trump and the reform movement he represents since his election in 2016, using tactics such as the Russia gate hoax and the Steele dossier hoax (1h25m17s).
  • The big question of Trump's second term will be whether he can subdue this bureaucracy and bring it under democratic control, as intended by the Constitution (1h25m46s).
  • Trump's presidency represents not dictatorship but democracy, and his triumph is a significant moment for the movement to return to the fundamentals of the Constitution (1h26m3s).
  • The Chevron Doctrine case at the Supreme Court earlier this year reversed the authority for agencies to create their own rules and regulations, which could enable deregulation and reduce the power of the bureaucracy (1h26m20s).
  • The case is seen as a precursor to the change that people are looking for, as it limits the ability of commissions to create their own rules and regulations that effectively become law (1h27m7s).
  • To further reduce the power of the bureaucracy, lawmakers need to pass laws, and individual commissions should not be allowed to pass laws, which requires bills to be passed by Congress that the president can sign (1h27m32s).

California rejects progressives (1h28m47s)

  • Daniel Lur is likely to be the new mayor of San Francisco, beating out the incumbent mayor London Breed, after running on a moderate platform to address the city's operational inefficiencies and high budget per capita (1h28m56s).
  • San Francisco has the highest budget per capita of any city in the United States, with a lower functioning set of municipal services, providing opportunities for improvement (1h29m17s).
  • This marks the first time an outsider has been elected mayor in San Francisco since 1911, as every mayor elected since then was an existing government employee or civil servant (1h29m29s).
  • Daniel Lur has been a proponent of supporting the police, justice, clean streets, and meritocracy, and has received congratulations from supporters (1h30m0s).
  • The speaker was once approached to run for mayor of San Francisco and received seven-figure support, but ultimately did not pursue the position (1h30m16s).
  • The Board of Supervisors in San Francisco has also shifted to a more moderate stance, with some supervisors being voted out, including Dean Preston (1h30m37s).
  • In Los Angeles, Nathan Hochman, a moderate candidate, beat George Gascón, a Soros-backed candidate, by around 20 points (1h31m16s).
  • Proposition 36 passed in California with around 70% support, reversing some of the excesses of Proposition 47, which had effectively legalized shoplifting (1h31m24s).
  • The passage of Proposition 36 reflects a desire among Californians to correct policies that enable crime, homelessness, and drug use (1h31m41s).
  • Even in liberal areas, there is a growing concern about crime and public safety, with some residents experiencing home invasions and car break-ins (1h32m3s).
  • The outcome of these elections and propositions suggests a shift towards more moderate policies and a desire for change in California (1h32m26s).
  • Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, was opposed to a prominent figure, with Newsom stating that he doesn't know what state he's living in when he saw early polling, and was told that he's the one who created the current state of California with his policies, including Prop 47 and zero bail (1h32m37s).
  • Over 70% of Californians want a change, and it's predicted that 90% of the United States is opposed to soft-on-crime policies, with Newsom being advised to get on the right side of the issue if he has aspirations to be more than the Governor of California (1h33m0s).
  • David Sacks is suggested as a potential governor of California, with the state being the fifth-largest economy in the world, and it's predicted that Sacks would make an incredible governor (1h33m27s).
  • Sacks is not a candidate at the moment, but it's predicted that he will be convinced to run within two years, which would be the perfect time as Gavin Newsom has been terrible for the state, with trillions of dollars of market cap exiting the state and record deficits (1h33m57s).
  • California has gone from record surpluses to record deficits, with a failing education system, high taxes, and decreased value for money spent, requiring a fundamental change from first principles (1h34m14s).
  • A prediction is made that the Democratic party will move towards the center in the next few years as they try to attract people back to the party after being captured and moving too far in one direction (1h35m0s).

Abortion laws being settled around the US (1h35m17s)

  • Abortion has become a highly sensitive topic in the US, with many women feeling deeply invested in their right to make choices about their bodies, and this issue has driven people to take sides in the political landscape (1h35m17s).
  • In Florida, voters rejected an amendment to extend the abortion limit to 24 weeks, with the current six-week ban remaining in effect after the proposed amendment received only 57% of the votes, short of the required 60% (1h35m54s).
  • The outcome of abortion-related votes and amendments to state constitutions is expected to reshape American politics, with the issue potentially becoming less salient as states work out their own laws and find compromises (1h36m29s).
  • The pro-choice and pro-life movements have been deeply fragmented for 50 years, but with the issue now being decided at the state level, most states are either adopting pro-choice laws or finding compromises on the number of weeks allowed for abortion (1h37m7s).
  • In red states, the debate is expected to focus on agreeing on a certain number of weeks for abortion, while blue states are likely to remain pro-choice, and at the federal level, the issue is becoming increasingly avoided (1h37m30s).
  • Despite predictions that the Supreme Court's decision on abortion would hurt Trump's campaign, he actually increased his share of the women's vote, except among college-educated women, by making it clear that he was not in favor of a national ban and that the issue was now up to the states (1h37m54s).
  • Trump's approach to the issue, which included favoring exceptions and assuring women that abortion would not be banned, was accepted by many voters, including women, and the issue is now widely seen as a state-level concern (1h38m25s).
  • Several states, including Maryland, Missouri, Nevada, Montana, Colorado, and Arizona, have voted to codify abortion rights (1h38m32s).
  • Recent referenda in various states have shown that pro-choice forces are winning, even in deep red states like Ohio, indicating a shift in the abortion debate in American politics (1h38m54s).
  • The outcome of these referenda suggests that the issue of abortion is becoming less of a federal issue and more of a state-by-state issue, with most states likely to allow abortion (1h39m13s).
  • Republicans may be hesitant to touch the issue of abortion due to its potential to mobilize women voters, as seen in the past (1h39m24s).
  • The perception that Trump was trying to pass a federal abortion ban may have driven some women to vote against him, but it was not enough to swing the election (1h39m29s).
  • The issue of abortion is likely to continue to be a contentious one, with some states banning or restricting access to abortion, which could have economic implications and affect people's decisions about where to live and work (1h40m5s).
  • Companies in Texas are already experiencing difficulties in attracting employees due to the state's abortion laws, with both men and women citing it as a concern (1h40m13s).
  • The outcome of the election has left some people feeling disappointed, frustrated, and sad, while others are optimistic and excited about the future of America (1h40m53s).
  • Congratulations were extended to Saak and Chamath for their early support of Donald Trump and their influential role in promoting his campaign (1h41m15s).
  • Trump is described as a good human being, and it is suggested that people should get to know him and hold him accountable (1h41m32s).
  • Republicans have decided to ban the market for fake meat, as they believe it is an attempt to control people's eating habits and disregard for individual physiology (1h42m7s).
  • The decision to ban fake meat is seen as an overreach of authority and an attempt to push a personal agenda (1h42m14s).
  • The topic of fake meat has been opened up to discussion among fans, who have responded enthusiastically (1h42m35s).
  • The conversation has taken a turn towards discussing the tension and conflict between individuals, with some suggesting that it has become a pointless and frustrating issue (1h43m1s).
  • The idea of releasing pent-up tension and conflict through a collective effort is proposed, although the suggestion is somewhat abstract and unclear (1h43m6s).
  • The topic of Donald Trump is mentioned, but only briefly, with the phrase "Trump wins" [no timestamp available in the provided text, but presumably at the beginning of the video].
  • The names "Rainman" and "David" are mentioned, but their context and relevance to the conversation are unclear (1h42m31s).

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