#369

07 Nov 2024 (8 days ago)
#369

SpaceX's Early Days and Falcon 1

  • To understand SpaceX's aspirations and potential for success, it's essential to revisit the early days of the Falcon 1 rocket program, which laid the foundation for the company's growth today (0s).
  • Elon Musk's goal was to build the world's first low-cost orbital rocket, and he pressed towards this goal with intensity, starting with an empty factory and a handful of employees (16s).
  • SpaceX began with nothing and launched its first rocket less than four years later, reaching orbit in six years, a remarkable achievement considering the company's humble beginnings (35s).
  • Many of the same people who worked on the Falcon 1 remain at SpaceX today, and their stories about the early years remain largely untold (50s).

Elon Musk's Vision and Early Influences

  • The book "Liftoff: Elon Musk and the Desperate Early Days That Launched SpaceX" by Eric Berger provides insight into the company's early years and Elon Musk's thoughts and decisions during that time (1m8s).
  • The book features direct quotes from Elon Musk, who was extensively interviewed by the author, offering a unique perspective on the company's prehistory (2m27s).
  • Before founding SpaceX, Elon Musk was around 30 years old, had been kicked out of PayPal, and was trying to figure out what to do next, which led him to explore his interest in space (2m32s).
  • Musk's interest in space was sparked by a conversation with his friend Ado, and he began researching and attending space conferences, reading everything he could find on rockets, including old Soviet technical manuals and John Clark's book "Ignition" (2m42s).
  • Musk's goal was to learn from the mistakes of other entrepreneurs who had attempted to work on rocket science before him, in order to avoid repeating them (3m21s).
  • The success of SpaceX's Starship flight test number five, which involved catching a rocket out of mid-air, is a testament to the company's progress and achievements over the past two and a half decades (1m18s).
  • Elon Musk's goal in starting SpaceX was to make humanity a multiplanetary species, and the first step towards achieving this was to bring down the cost of launch, as he believed that if NASA and private companies spent less money getting satellites and people into space, they could do more things in space and more commerce would open up (3m52s).
  • Musk's vision for making space travel more affordable was influenced by the high cost of launch, which he compared to the example of plane tickets being a million or $10 million, resulting in fewer people flying (4m30s).

Building a Network and Facing Skepticism

  • To achieve his goal, Musk started building a network of allies, including Mike Griffin, who would later become NASA's administrator, and organized meetings with space enthusiasts, engineers, and rocket scientists (4m38s).
  • During one of these meetings, Musk announced his intention to start his own rocket company, which was met with skepticism and laughter from the attendees, but this only energized him more (4m55s).
  • Musk's friends and confidants also tried to dissuade him from pursuing his goal, with one friend creating an hour-long video compilation of rocket failures and another warning him that he would lose all his money (5m24s).
  • Despite these warnings, Musk was undeterred and decided to risk half of his $180 million fortune from PayPal on a rocket company, believing that he could still have plenty left over (5m37s).

Industry Stagnation and Recruitment

  • The stagnation of the existing space industry, with companies in the US and Russia using decades-old technology and increasing prices, presented an opportunity for Musk to innovate and disrupt the industry (5m58s).
  • The stagnation of the industry also helped Musk recruit top talent, as SpaceX offered new hires the opportunity to rapidly grow their skills, take on new responsibilities, and work on the rocket with minimal management (6m24s).
  • Musk's leadership style, which included offering a vision, charisma, and resources, as well as being hands-on and willing to help solve technical problems, was instrumental in attracting and motivating top talent to join SpaceX (6m40s).
  • The author of a book interviewed many early SpaceX employees, who discussed the differences between SpaceX and legacy aerospace companies, such as Lockheed Martin, where one employee's sole job was to find a supplier for a bolt on the F-35 stealth aircraft's landing gear and ensure it met quality specifications (7m8s).
  • In contrast, SpaceX offered a more thrilling and all-encompassing work experience, where engineers had to solve diverse problems, making them better engineers, and had to learn to think without being given a specific job or instructions (7m50s).

Iterative Design and Engineering Philosophy

  • Elon Musk's strategy for designing a rocket involved an iterative approach, which begins with a goal and immediately leaps into concept designs, bench tests, and prototypes, with the mantra "build and test early, find failures and adapt" (8m17s).
  • This approach is also known as the Edisonian principle of design, which was discussed in James Dyson's autobiography, where he talks about his mentor, Jeremy Fry, who had a similar approach to design and engineering, not being interested in experts and instead employing bright kids and taking risks (9m11s).
  • Jeremy Fry's approach to engineering involved not overthinking ideas, but instead building and testing them immediately, and encouraging others to do the same, with a focus on enthusiasm, intelligence, and trying different approaches until something works (9m43s).
  • The root principle of success is doing things your way as long as it works and is exciting, which will attract followers (10m38s).

Relentless Hiring and Building a Team

  • Elon Musk personally interviewed the first 3,000 employees at SpaceX, seeking brilliant and creative engineers who would commit to the goal and make the impossible possible (10m53s).
  • Musk's valuable skill was determining whether someone would fit the mold of being brilliant, hardworking, and having no nonsense (11m12s).
  • Musk made hiring a priority, personally meeting with every single person the company hired through the first 3,000 employees (11m33s).
  • Musk's interviews were direct and involved throwing a person off kilter to see how they react, as seen in an example where he asked a candidate if he dyed his hair (12m1s).
  • The candidate, Brian, was asked about his motivations for joining SpaceX, and he discussed how the success of NASA's Apollo Moon program had inspired a generation of engineers and scientists (12m22s).
  • Brian chose to leave a comfortable job and join SpaceX despite knowing it would be an intense environment with no guarantees of success (12m44s).
  • After the interview, Brian received an email from Musk's assistant offering him the job, which he accepted due to the company's sense of adventure and speed (13m14s).
  • Brian became employee number 14 at SpaceX and was aware that he would have to work long hours with a high chance of failure (13m29s).
  • The Pony Express ran an ad seeking young, skinny, and wiry fellows who were expert riders and willing to risk death daily, with orphans preferred, which yielded hundreds of adventure-seeking young men (13m58s).
  • Similarly, Ernest Shackleton ran an ad for men wanted for a hazardous journey with low wages, bitter cold, long hours of complete darkness, and a doubtful safe return, but with honor and recognition in the event of success (14m17s).
  • Elon Musk's hiring process at SpaceX was relentless, as seen in the story of a talented young engineer from Turkey who was initially hesitant to move to Los Angeles, but Musk solved the problem by arranging for the engineer's wife to be transferred from Google to Los Angeles (14m35s).
  • Musk's interviews were described as intense and intimidating, with a laser-like focus on his vision, and he gave employees a lot of leeway to push limits and test their abilities (15m15s).
  • Another factor that helped Musk recruit top talent was the fact that he had put $100 million of his own money into the project, as seen in the case of Hans, who eventually became the vice president of avionics at SpaceX (15m54s).
  • A professor at the University of Michigan found that half of his top 10 students of all time were working at SpaceX, and they had taken pay cuts because they believed in the mission (16m32s).
  • When the professor met with Musk, he realized that the meeting was not about him, but about recruiting the other five students from his list, and this was not an isolated case, as similar stories were heard from engineering peers at other universities (17m6s).
  • SpaceX gave its students the freedom to innovate and resources to move quickly, allowing them to summon the best engineers in the country, with the professor noting that "Talent wins over experience and an entrepreneurial culture over Heritage" (17m25s).

Elon Musk's Management Style and Decision-Making

  • Elon Musk's management style was described as "in-your-face," empowering his people to make decisions without needing committees, paperwork, or reviews, as long as they could convince him and the Chief Financial Officer (also Musk) (17m52s).
  • Musk's ability to make difficult decisions quickly and tackle the hardest problems first was a key factor in SpaceX's success, allowing for more iterations and learning (18m16s).
  • Musk had a knack for identifying engineering talent, motivating employees to do extraordinary things, and inspiring engineers to achieve beyond their perceived abilities (18m46s).
  • Musk's primary capability was evaluating people quickly and picking the right ones, combining this skill with being super involved in the company (19m1s).
  • Musk brought a risk tolerance to SpaceX, not being afraid to fail, which contrasted with legacy aerospace companies that were terrified of taking risks (19m28s).
  • In meetings, Musk would often ask his engineers to do something that seemed impossible, and when they protested, he would ask "what would it take" to open their minds to potential solutions (20m0s).
  • This approach was similar to Henry Ford's, who also wanted solutions rather than limitations, and would ask his team to think about potential solutions rather than telling him why something couldn't be done (20m21s).

Resource Deployment and Financial Constraints

  • A talented German engineer was motivated to join SpaceX due to the challenge of working within constraints, such as building a rocket with a small team and limited budget, which aligned with Elon Musk's vision (21m2s).
  • Elon Musk's philosophy on resource deployment in the early days of a company emphasized the relationship between time and money, with a focus on minimizing burn rate, which was $100,000 per day at SpaceX (21m50s).
  • Musk would often prioritize cost savings, expecting employees to find cheaper alternatives or invent new solutions, but would also spend large amounts of money if it saved time and increased efficiency (22m3s).
  • The urgency to achieve goals was driven by the expectation of generating $10 million in revenue per day in 10 years, making every day count and emphasizing the importance of speed (22m21s).
  • SpaceX's fast-paced work environment was a significant cultural shock for employees coming from traditional aerospace companies, with a lack of bureaucracy and emphasis on individual responsibility (22m47s).
  • The company's early days were characterized by a lack of support staff, with employees expected to pitch in and help with various tasks, similar to the early days of Microsoft (23m32s).
  • Even high-ranking executives, such as Gwynne Shotwell, were not above performing menial tasks, such as vacuuming and making coffee, to ensure the company's success (24m7s).

Fast-Paced Work Environment and Adaptability

  • Elon Musk prioritized making decisions quickly, which was reflected in the company's fast-paced and adaptable work environment (24m15s).
  • Elon Musk's management style was decisive and fast-paced, allowing his early hires to see the benefits of working for someone who wanted to get things done quickly, often making decisions on the spot without committees or reports (24m22s).
  • In meetings, if an engineer faced an intractable problem, Elon would suggest ideas and give his teams a day or two to troubleshoot, then report back to him, and was available for guidance via email day or night, typically responding within minutes (24m37s).
  • This style is similar to Jeff Bezos' approach at Amazon, where he would give employees the autonomy to make decisions and take action quickly, as seen in the story of an employee who was given permission to build a $300 million fulfillment center without needing further approval (24m56s).
  • Elon's approach was to drive away slow decision-making, which he believed would drive away great people who want to get things done, and instead, he channeled an intense force to move things forward (25m39s).

In-House Manufacturing and Control

  • Another key theme was Elon's desire to build as much of the rocket in-house as possible, to control costs and schedules, and to free himself from supplier constraints (26m7s).
  • This approach led to the acquisition of a machine shop that could move as fast as SpaceX, and the company's willingness to pay quickly, often within a day of receiving a purchase order, which prioritized their orders and allowed for faster production (26m55s).
  • The machine shop's owner, SK Nam Bob Rean, noted the difference in working with SpaceX compared to other companies, citing their speed and willingness to pay quickly, which allowed him to prioritize their orders and deliver parts faster (26m50s).
  • Elon's emphasis on speed and in-house control was a recurring theme throughout the company's early days, and was seen as a key factor in its success (27m29s).
  • Elon Musk met with a company on Saturday, November 1st, at 5:00 p.m. to negotiate an asking price, and 10 minutes later, they presented him with a contract, which led to him bringing six of their machinists and machines in-house (27m50s).
  • By bringing the manufacturing in-house, Elon cut much of his manufacturing costs in half, allowing him to buy aluminum and have people work on it without the markup and delay of sending it to an outside machine shop (28m11s).
  • The lines of communication between SpaceX engineers and the manufacturing crew were wide open, allowing for mutual respect and efficient problem-solving (28m32s).
  • Elon's relationship with his team was built on trust, with the expectation that if someone said they could do something, they better do it, and he cannot stand a liar or a thief (28m54s).
  • SpaceX operates on its own terms and timeline, with Elon teaching his team to assess every part of the rocket with a discerning eye, rather than using whatever part has always been used (29m12s).
  • This approach allowed SpaceX to optimize parts for their specific solution, consider the quality of suppliers, and ensure that changes could be made quickly if needed (29m30s).

Testing and Launch Site Challenges

  • Elon made decisions very fast, such as looking for a testing site unfettered by government control, which led to the discovery of a site in McGregor, Texas, previously developed by Beal Aerospace (29m53s).
  • The site in McGregor, Texas, suited SpaceX's needs, with a cooperative local government, minimal interference, and a more business-friendly regulatory environment than California (30m22s).
  • Elon decided to fly to Texas to check out the site and immediately leased it, providing his engine designers with room to construct a new test site (30m17s).
  • SpaceX spent two years developing the Merlin engine, facing numerous failures, including burning up thrust chambers, blowing apart fuel tanks, and raising enough noise to attract the Secret Service, but ultimately built a powerful engine from scratch by 2005 (31m10s).
  • The company's journey was marked by constant exposure to smart and dedicated people dealing with failure after failure, with 90% of the book detailing SpaceX's failures, including their first successful rocket launch in the second-to-last chapter (31m42s).
  • After solving the problem of successfully testing their rocket engine, SpaceX needed to launch it, but they thought they already had a solution by launching from Vandenberg Air Force Base, which is about an hour and a half north of their headquarters (32m14s).
  • However, the Air Force had an uneasy relationship with SpaceX from the beginning, with a rigid culture and strict hierarchy, which clashed with SpaceX's loose culture and lack of hierarchy (32m44s).
  • The Air Force required SpaceX to wait until the National Reconnaissance Office's expensive spy satellite was safely in orbit before launching their rocket, but couldn't provide a specific timeline, placing SpaceX in a difficult position (33m21s).
  • This situation led to SpaceX not being compensated for their expenses while waiting, as they only got paid when they launched, unlike military contractors who signed Cost Plus agreements (33m33s).
  • Elon Musk stated that the Air Force never explicitly said no, but never said yes either, effectively putting SpaceX on ice for six months, draining the company's resources (33m49s).
  • As a result, SpaceX had to abandon their plans to launch from Vandenberg Air Force Base, where they had invested $7 million in launch facilities, and instead turned to their backup plan to launch from a remote island in the Marshall Islands called Omelek, also known as the "quad" (34m14s).
  • The Army eventually helped SpaceX with their backup plan, allowing them to launch from the remote island (34m29s).
  • SpaceX had to build a second launch site on a remote island in the Pacific after working themselves to exhaustion on the first site, requiring them to ship tons of supplies on a month-long journey by sea (34m41s).
  • The company shipped 30 tons of cargo across the Pacific over the course of three months, including tools, lifts, pipes, tubing, and computers packed into 40ft cargo containers (35m34s).

Early Failures and Perseverance

  • After the failure of their first rocket, Elon Musk spent much of the flight back to the United States reading books about early rocket scientists and their efforts to understand their mistakes and learn from them (35m49s).
  • Elon Musk recognized the emotional toll the failure might inflict on his engineers and typed up an uplifting memo to the SpaceX team, offering comforting perspective by noting that other iconic rockets had also failed during early test launches (36m26s).
  • In the memo, Elon Musk expressed respect for those who persevered to produce vehicles that are mainstays of space launches and emphasized that SpaceX is in it for the long haul (36m57s).

Securing Contracts and Financial Survival

  • Elon Musk had to solve two problems simultaneously: developing a rocket that can reach orbit and securing contracts to prevent SpaceX from running out of money (37m10s).
  • Gwyn Shotwell advised Elon Musk to hire someone to sell the rocket full-time, leading him to create a vice president of sales position and encouraging Shotwell to apply (37m27s).
  • Gwyn Shotwell eventually decided to join SpaceX after considering the risks, including her age, divorce, and young children, and made the decision based on her desire to see the business change (37m58s).
  • Elon Musk wanted to take SpaceX in a direction that required securing two important contracts, which would be crucial in the company's early days, and Gwynne Shotwell was key to achieving this goal (38m5s).
  • Shotwell possessed the necessary brashness and understanding of the political terrain to navigate the complex relationship between the Air Force, NASA, and private industry (38m17s).
  • Musk hired Shotwell because she knew the business and had connections with potential customers, which is an important point in sales: finding the person who knows your customers and hiring them to sell your product (38m44s).
  • Shotwell understood the evolving relationship between the Air Force, NASA, and private industry, which was essential for SpaceX's success (38m56s).
  • When Shotwell presented a plan of action for sales to Musk, he told her to focus on getting the job done rather than writing plans, which reflected his management style of prioritizing action over planning (39m17s).
  • Musk's approach to management involves making decisions quickly, which is facilitated by having the lead engineer and head of finance in the same person, allowing for faster decision-making (39m40s).
  • Shotwell introduced Musk to potential customers within the government, including Peter Te, who represented the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) and was a potential customer for SpaceX (40m12s).
  • Despite initial skepticism from government agencies, Musk realized the need to gain attention and put on a show to demonstrate SpaceX's capabilities (40m33s).
  • Peter Te, who represented the NRO, was generally supportive of SpaceX's intentions but had seen similar presentations from other private space companies that had failed, which made him skeptical of Musk's chances of success (40m37s).
  • Elon Musk was once told by a person that his endeavors would be much harder than he thought, and it would never work, which hardened his resolve and made him more determined to succeed (41m11s).
  • Musk believed that customers needed to see real hardware to believe in the company and its booster, so he worked 18 hours a day to build a full-scale model of the rocket, which was hollow but looked genuine from the outside (41m46s).
  • The rocket was taken on a cross-country journey to Washington DC, where it was parked on Independence Avenue across the street from the National Air and Space Museum, as a way for Musk to make a splash and show his critics that the rocket was real (42m1s).
  • Musk's attitude was to confront his critics head-on and show them that the rocket was legitimate, which was admired by Shotwell (42m20s).
  • Musk had previously used a similar tactic with his first startup, Zip2, where he built a huge case around a standard PC to make it seem more impressive to prospective investors (42m47s).
  • SpaceX faced three simultaneous problems: building a rocket to reach orbit successfully, selling the rocket successfully, and fighting corruption (43m14s).
  • Elon Musk knew that NASA had to play an important role in SpaceX's survival, and they needed a contract from NASA, but a company called Kler, which had gone bankrupt, was awarded a $227 million contract from NASA instead (43m27s).
  • Musk was outraged and protested to the government accountability office, despite being told that he had a 90% chance of losing and would make a potential customer angry (43m58s).
  • Musk believed that it was the right thing to do and that the bid should be open to competition, and eventually, SpaceX won the contract after NASA learned from the protest (44m32s).
  • The US government accountability office ruled in favor of SpaceX on the issue of fairness, leading NASA to open up a new competition for cargo delivery, which became the foundation for NASA's Commercial Orbital Transportation Service (COTS) (44m40s).
  • SpaceX won the COTS contract two years later, and the Kissler protest was just one of many battles that Elon Musk and Gwynne Shotwell would fight before government committees and in courtrooms (45m2s).

Lawsuits and Market Disruption

  • A year later, SpaceX was involved in a battle with three of the titans of the US launch industry, including a lawsuit with Northrop Grumman over Tom Mueller and his rocket engine technology (45m14s).
  • SpaceX also sued Boeing and Lockheed Martin over plans to merge their launch businesses into a single rocket company called United Launch Alliance, citing concerns that the new company's rockets could not compete on price with rivals in Russia and Europe (45m32s).
  • At the time, the US share of the global market for commercial launches had fallen to near zero, but by 2023, the US had a 54% share of global commercial launch revenues, with SpaceX's Falcon 9 responsible for the bulk of these launches (45m50s).
  • SpaceX's lawsuit against Boeing and Lockheed Martin ultimately failed, but the company's aggressive approach to the market helped to drive down launch costs, with SpaceX eventually able to launch payloads for $6 million, compared to the $26-28 million charged by its competitors (46m50s).
  • Elon Musk's decision to prominently display the company's pricing on its website was seen as a bold move, and helped to set SpaceX apart from its competitors (47m5s).
  • The protests and lawsuits filed by SpaceX directly led to the two contracts that changed the company forever, including a $278 million contract in 2006 and a $1.6 billion contract in 2008 (47m22s).

Major Contracts and NASA Endorsement

  • The $278 million contract was awarded to SpaceX in August 2006, and was seen as a major endorsement of the company by NASA, allowing Elon Musk to accelerate his plans to build a big orbital rocket (47m46s).
  • NASA acknowledged that despite a failure, they felt they were on the right path and continued working on getting a rocket into orbit, a sentiment shared by Elon Musk who emphasized the difficulty of the problem SpaceX was trying to solve (48m22s).
  • Musk highlighted that making a reusable orbital rocket is one of the hardest engineering problems known to man, and succeeding would be one of the biggest breakthroughs in human history (48m47s).
  • The challenge is partly due to Earth's gravity, which makes it difficult to have a fully reusable orbital system, but Musk is pushing his team to the absolute limits to achieve this goal (49m1s).
  • Musk's employees respect him because he works alongside them and is not an absentee boss, which earns him admiration as a leader when he suggests solutions to problems, even if they don't work (49m31s).

Company Culture and Engineering Challenges

  • The early SpaceX company culture involved regular all-nighters, a competitive macho culture, and giving talented young people a ton of responsibility, as seen in the case of a young engineer named Dun who was given responsibility for the rocket's entire first-stage propulsion system just four months into his job (50m10s).
  • Elon Musk gave his team a final chance to succeed after the third failure, calling a staff meeting and rallying the team with an inspiring speech, and asking them to build and fly one final Falcon 1 rocket (51m31s).
  • SpaceX was about to launch another rocket, marking a period that would be the most memorable and important in the company's history, setting the stage for it to become the most transformative aerospace company in the world (51m56s).

Financial Struggles and Personal Challenges

  • Elon Musk had invested a lot in SpaceX and Tesla, with little return, and his personal fortune was running dry, having invested everything in both companies (52m24s).
  • Elon's personal life was also falling apart, having split from his first wife that summer, and he didn't even have a house as his ex-wife had it (52m32s).
  • Elon had to allocate a lot of capital to Tesla and Solar City, and with three failures under SpaceX's belt, it was hard to raise money, especially with the recession starting to hit and the Tesla financing round failing (52m37s).
  • By August 2008, Elon had almost nothing to show for his investments in rocket and electric car ventures, with SpaceX producing a litany of failures and Tesla being cash-strapped (53m8s).
  • Despite the challenges, SpaceX managed to put together a rocket quickly, but it crumpled due to outdated information on the pressure inside the C17 plane it was being transported in (53m33s).
  • The team was instructed to strip the rocket like a Chevy and disassemble it on the remote island, rather than bringing it back to LA, and they managed to fix it in just one week (54m10s).

Flight 4 Success and Financial Crisis

  • After the successful launch of Flight 4, SpaceX still almost failed due to running out of money, having sunk 6 years and $100 million into the company (55m2s).
  • At the time of Flight 4's launch, SpaceX's payroll exceeded 500 people, but the company's finances remained dire, with Elon's girlfriend, Justine Musk, describing him as looking like death itself and waking up from nightmares screaming and in physical pain (55m10s).
  • Elon Musk was urged to save either SpaceX or Tesla, as he could not support both, but he couldn't bring himself to let one of the companies die (55m47s).

CRS Contract and Financial Rescue

  • NASA had an open competition for the Commercial Resupply Services (CRS) program, which SpaceX won, securing a contract to fly food, water, and supplies to the International Space Station (ISS) (56m6s).
  • The contract was worth $1.6 billion, and without it, SpaceX would have likely gone down as the company that made it to orbit and then died (56m58s).
  • Two days after winning the CRS contract, Tesla closed a financing round that provided the company with 6 months of funding, saving both companies from financial struggles (57m3s).
  • Elon Musk described the situation as high drama, feeling like he had been taken out to the firing squad and blindfolded, but then they fired the guns which went click, with no bullets coming out (57m19s).

Reflections on Mars and Long-Term Goals

  • Nearly two decades after Musk first began thinking about Mars, he reflected on his decision to commit himself to the goal of Mars, a commitment that has grown stronger over time, despite still not being close to achieving it (57m46s).
  • Musk expressed frustration that humans had remained stuck in low Earth orbit since Apollo and felt a sense of outrage that they were still not on Mars 19 years after he made his life-changing decision (58m17s).

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